This is the real historical outcome rate and the closed historical trades — every signal, winners and losers, no cherry-picking. Start your free 14-day trial to access live scanner results and detailed historical records.
How often the price hit +10% within the window — a high-water mark it touched, not a locked-in exit — measured on out-of-sample historical data. Past results, not a forecast or guarantee.
How far did the signal move after it was identified? Each bar shows how many signals reached that return level. “Median weeks to peak” is measured from signal date to the highest point reached — for signals that ran well past the target it may slightly overstate how long it took to first touch that level. Click any bar to see the individual signals behind it. Past performance does not predict future results.
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How far winners actually go
Weekly Signal
Of signals that hit the +10% target, how many kept going? The winners-run story.
ELITE3,889 signals that hit +10%
Median peak
+66%
median 21w to peak · 25th-75th 12-29w
median 22w to peak · 25th-75th 13-29w
median 23w to peak · 25th-75th 14-30w
median 24w to peak · 25th-75th 16-30w
median 26w to peak · 25th-75th 17-30w
median 26w to peak · 25th-75th 17-30w
median 25w to peak · 25th-75th 16.2-30w
HIGH4,176 signals that hit +10%
Median peak
+58%
median 21w to peak · 25th-75th 11-30w
median 21w to peak · 25th-75th 12-30w
median 23w to peak · 25th-75th 13-30w
median 24w to peak · 25th-75th 15-31w
median 25w to peak · 25th-75th 16-30w
median 25w to peak · 25th-75th 15.2-30w
median 24w to peak · 25th-75th 14-30w
MEDIUM8,724 signals that hit +10%
Median peak
+56%
median 19w to peak · 25th-75th 9-28w
median 20w to peak · 25th-75th 10-29w
median 21w to peak · 25th-75th 12-29w
median 23w to peak · 25th-75th 14-30w
median 24w to peak · 25th-75th 15-30w
median 24w to peak · 25th-75th 15-30w
median 23w to peak · 25th-75th 15-29w
Peak / MFE (max favorable excursion) is what the engine offered the trader, not what was necessarily captured. Realized return depends on the exit decision — that's the Themis layer's job, separate from this scoring story. Past performance does not predict future results.
Olympia provides historical and probabilistic decision support. It does not tell the user what to do, does not expose protected internals, and should be treated as informational tooling rather than personalized investment advice.Each signal carries a Tier — ELITE, HIGH, MEDIUM, WATCH, or BELOW — reflecting the historical reliability of setups like it. Tiers rank historical-pattern strength, not the company itself. Raw probabilities and internal formulas are not displayed.Read the full Research, Risk & Publication Disclaimer →